{"id":11018,"date":"2021-09-16T20:50:00","date_gmt":"2021-09-16T15:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/?p=11018"},"modified":"2021-09-16T20:50:00","modified_gmt":"2021-09-16T15:20:00","slug":"episode-21-daniel-kahneman-on-how-noise-hampers-judgement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/episodes\/2021\/09\/16\/episode-21-daniel-kahneman-on-how-noise-hampers-judgement\/","title":{"rendered":"Episode 21: Daniel Kahneman on How Noise Hampers Judgement"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"iframe-class\" src=\"https:\/\/html5-player.libsyn.com\/embed\/episode\/id\/20497568\/height\/90\/width\/640\/theme\/custom\/autonext\/no\/thumbnail\/yes\/autoplay\/no\/preload\/no\/no_addthis\/no\/direction\/backward\/render-playlist\/no\/custom-color\/ff1018\/\" width=\"100%\" height=\"90\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; 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width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div id=\"block-yui_3_17_2_1_1531700257624_130235\" class=\"sqs-block html-block sqs-block-html\" data-block-type=\"2\">\n<div class=\"sqs-block-content\">\n<div id=\"block-yui_3_17_2_1_1560137275805_230172\" class=\"sqs-block html-block sqs-block-html\" data-block-type=\"2\">\n<div class=\"sqs-block-content\">\n<p>We overestimate our skill at decision making. We&#8217;re pretty bad, and bias isn&#8217;t the only reason. Daniel Kahneman joins\u00a0<span class=\"il\">Vasant<\/span>\u00a0Dhar in episode 21 of Brave New World to shed light on the problem of Noise, and what we can do about it.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div><b>Useful resources<\/b>:<br \/>\n1.\u00a0<i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Noise-book-authors-Thinking-Nudge-ebook\/dp\/B08LCZFJZ2\/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=daniel+kahneman&amp;qid=1631695307&amp;sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Noise-book-authors-Thinking-Nudge-ebook\/dp\/B08LCZFJZ2\/ref%3Dsr_1_1?keywords%3Ddaniel%2Bkahneman%26qid%3D1631695307%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1631844206297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHRqCgKQKIvoymJgm7hndJsw2l1HA\">Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgement<\/a><\/i>\u00a0&#8212; Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass Sunstein.<br \/>\n2.\u00a0<i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/B005MJFA2W\/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p1_i0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/B005MJFA2W\/ref%3Ddbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p1_i0&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1631844206297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEzgoGgUzwYxqFqzvCnuH_HG0uAzw\">Thinking, Fast and Slow<\/a><\/i>\u00a0&#8212; Daniel Kahneman.<br \/>\n3.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lareviewofbooks.org\/article\/dissecting-noise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/lareviewofbooks.org\/article\/dissecting-noise\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1631844206297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHFnyp3XhOQ1AHS6imPJmYpI9oM0w\">Dissecting \u201cNoise\u201d<\/a>\u00a0&#8212;\u00a0<span class=\"il\">Vasant<\/span>\u00a0Dhar.<br \/>\n4.\u00a0<i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock-ebook\/dp\/B00Y78X7HY\/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=superforecasting&amp;qid=1631696495&amp;sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock-ebook\/dp\/B00Y78X7HY\/ref%3Dsr_1_1?keywords%3Dsuperforecasting%26qid%3D1631696495%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1631844206297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEeRQDS8oN1UyiGTNRioZJVb45NSw\">Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction<\/a><\/i>\u00a0&#8212; Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner.<br \/>\n5.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Herbert-A-Simon\/e\/B001HCWQ7A?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_2&amp;qid=1631696613&amp;sr=8-2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Herbert-A-Simon\/e\/B001HCWQ7A?ref%3Dsr_ntt_srch_lnk_2%26qid%3D1631696613%26sr%3D8-2&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1631844206297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGWhtjbId5MtGpdT_N0WuJPtAw65g\">Herbert A Simon on Amazon<\/a>.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"shariff\" data-twitter-via=\"vasantdhar\" data-title=\"Episode 21: Daniel Kahneman on How Noise Hampers Judgement\" data-info-url=\"http:\/\/ct.de\/-2467514\" data-backend-url=\"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/shariff-sharing\/backend\/index.php\" data-temp=\"\/tmp\" data-ttl=\"60\" data-service=\"tl\" data-services='[\"facebook\",\"twitter\",\"linkedin\",\"whatsapp\"]' data-image=\"\" data-url=\"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/episodes\/2021\/09\/16\/episode-21-daniel-kahneman-on-how-noise-hampers-judgement\/\" data-lang=\"en\" data-theme=\"grey\" data-orientation=\"horizontal\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff\ufeff We overestimate our skill at decision making. We&#8217;re pretty bad, and bias isn&#8217;t the only reason. Daniel Kahneman joins\u00a0Vasant\u00a0Dhar in episode 21 of Brave New World to shed light on the problem of Noise, and what we can do about it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[157],"tags":[179],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11018"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11018\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bravenewpodcast.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}